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COPA LIBERTADORES·THU, MAY 28 · 00:30

Peñarol MontevideovsIndependiente Santa Fe

Sharp-line model
Updated every scan

Match result

1 · X · 2

Total goals

Line 2.5
No totals line for this match.

Both teams to score

Yes · No · our Poisson model

Total corners

6 lines
Line
Over
Under
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5

Total cards

6 lines
Line
Over
Under
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5

Player markets

Player-level predictions will appear here once the Poisson model has seen enough per-player history. Usually requires 3+ recent appearances per player.

Team form & stats

Peñarol Montevideohome
Last 5
DDLLL
1.54
Goals/game
1.08
Conceded/game
46%
BTTS %
46%
Over 2.5 %
7.8
Corners/game
2.50
Cards/game
Independiente Santa Feaway
Last 5
WDLL
1.00
Goals/game
1.50
Conceded/game
75%
BTTS %
50%
Over 2.5 %
8.8
Corners/game
3.00
Cards/game
Probabilities come from our sharp-line calibration model — we take the tightest public line on the match, strip out bookmaker margin via the power method, and surface the calibrated implied probability. Not our forecast, not a recommendation — the market's consensus made honest.