Free tool

Kelly Criterion Calculator

The Kelly Criterion sizes your stake to your edge — bet more when the value is bigger, nothing when there's no edge. Most sharp bettors use a fraction of full Kelly to smooth out variance.

Odds format

Odds

Your win probability

Your true estimate — not the bookmaker's implied odds.Bankroll

Kelly fraction

Recommended stake

$41.82

4.18% of bankroll

Full Kelly

8.36%

Edge per bet

9.20%

Stop estimating your win probability.

Bull Metrics devigs the sharp line to give you a tested probability for every market, then Kelly-sizes the stake for you — and tracks how it closed. Guesswork out, verified edge in.

See the live track record

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